Crisis of Truth

Evidence over outrage: a self-fact-check

I Thought America Had Lost Its Empathy. So I Checked My Own Claim.

I hold every page on this site to one rule: every claim has to trace to a record you can check. This time the claim I was checking was mine.

What I wrote, before I looked anything up:

American society has deliberatelyDisputed erased empathy.Nuanced People in America have been dumbed down,Nuanced yet they think they know everything.Confirmed

Tap any underlined part to jump to its receipts. The fifth verdict, where empathy actually went, is the one I didn't see coming.

72%of Republicans say Democrats are more immoral than other Americans. In 2016 it was 47%.Pew Research Center, 2022
63%of Democrats say the same about Republicans. In 2016 it was 35%.Pew Research Center, 2022
−12points: the drop in U.S. adult literacy scores between 2017 and 2023.NCES, PIAAC 2023
3 in 4Americans overrate their own ability to tell real news from fake.PNAS, 2021

The short answer

Americans didn't lose their empathy. They sorted it.

We still help strangers at some of the highest rates in the world. What collapsed is our willingness to see the half of the country that votes differently as decent people. Adult reading and math skills really did slip. Confidence didn't slip with them.

The one part of my sentence I couldn't prove is the word I leaned on hardest: deliberately. I found no evidence of a plan. I found strong evidence of a business model that pays for exactly this outcome. Those are different claims, and on this site the difference matters.

“Empathy has been erased”

Verdict: Nuanced

This is the claim with the famous statistic behind it, and the statistic is real. In 2011, University of Michigan researcher Sara Konrath and two colleagues combined 72 studies of 13,737 American college students who took the same empathy questionnaire between 1979 and 2009. The two core measures, empathic concern (feeling for someone in trouble) and perspective taking (imagining how things look to them), both fell. Most of the drop came after 2000.

Receipt: Konrath, S.H., O’Brien, E.H., & Hsing, C. (2011). “Changes in Dispositional Empathy in American College Students Over Time: A Meta-Analysis.” Personality and Social Psychology Review, 15(2). doi:10.1177/1088868310377395

If the story stopped there, I'd have been right. It doesn't stop there. Konrath went back and updated her own work, adding 126 newer samples and six unpublished datasets from her lab, for a total of 38,693 undergraduates. The update found empathy among young Americans has been rising since 2008, nearly back to the levels of the late 1970s.

Receipt: Konrath, S., Martingano, A.J., Davis, M., & Breithaupt, F. (2023). “Empathy Trends in American Youth Between 1979 and 2018: An Update.” Social Psychological and Personality Science, 16(3), 252–265. doi:10.1177/19485506231218360. Summary: Indiana University Lilly Family School of Philanthropy, May 2024. philanthropy.indianapolis.iu.edu

Behavior tells a similar story. Gallup asks people in more than 140 countries whether, in the past month, they helped a stranger who needed it. Across the decade from 2009 to 2018, 72 percent of Americans said yes, and the U.S. ranked first in the world overall on the Charities Aid Foundation's giving index for that decade. It has slipped since — as low as 19th in 2021 — but it was back in the top ten in 2024.

Receipt: Charities Aid Foundation, World Giving Index 10th edition (2019), cafonline.org (10th edition PDF), and 2024 edition. cafonline.org (2024 PDF). Ten-year summary: Chronicle of Philanthropy

Nuanced. Measured empathy among young Americans fell sharply after 2000, then rebounded after 2008. Everyday helping remains among the highest in the world. “Erased” is not what the data shows. One honest limit on all of it: these are things people say about themselves on surveys, not recordings of what they actually do.

Where the empathy actually went

Verdict: Confirmed

I didn't write this claim, but it's the one the evidence kept pointing to. Americans are still kind to a stranger in a parking lot. They have become far less kind in how they think about the tens of millions of fellow citizens in the other party.

In 2022, Pew Research Center surveyed 6,174 American adults and asked whether people in the opposing party are more immoral than other Americans. Here is how the answers moved in six years:

Republicans, about Democrats
47% → 72%
Democrats, about Republicans
35% → 63%

2022   2016 level

The same survey found 72 percent of Republicans and 64 percent of Democrats calling the other side more dishonest than other Americans. Meanwhile each side rated itself more moral than before. In 1994, fewer than a quarter of either party viewed the other very unfavorably. By 2022 it was 62 percent of Republicans and 54 percent of Democrats.

Receipt: Pew Research Center, “As Partisan Hostility Grows, Signs of Frustration With the Two-Party System,” August 9, 2022. Survey of 6,174 U.S. adults, June 27 to July 4, 2022. pewresearch.org

Confirmed, and it runs both ways. Both parties' voters have moved in lockstep toward seeing the other side as bad people. Neither side gets to point at the other on this one. The numbers are nearly mirror images.

That symmetry is the part working people should sit with. The folks on the other side of your family table are, by and large, paying the same rent, the same insurance premiums, and the same grocery bills you are. When each half of the working class sees the other half as immoral, that is a division someone else gets to cash in on.

“People have been dumbed down”

Verdict: Nuanced

The best measure of adult skills is a test called PIAAC, run by the OECD and, in the U.S., by the Department of Education's National Center for Education Statistics. It gives real reading, math and problem-solving tasks to adults ages 16 to 65.

The 2023 results were bad. Between 2017 and 2023, U.S. adults' average literacy score fell 12 points, from 271 to 258, and their numeracy score fell from 255 to 249. The gap between the strongest and weakest performers grew: people at the top held steady while everyone else slid. The U.S. landed near the middle of participating countries in literacy and below average in math.

Receipt: National Center for Education Statistics, Highlights of the 2023 U.S. PIAAC Results, December 2024. nces.ed.gov; scores from the NCES press release, Dec. 10, 2024. NCES cautions that 2023 was the first round given entirely on tablets, so comparisons with earlier years need care. International comparison: OECD Education GPS

Two findings keep this from being a simple “they dumbed us down” story. First, this isn't only an American problem: among the countries tested in both rounds of the OECD's adult skills survey, average literacy improved significantly in only two, Finland and Denmark, and held steady or fell everywhere else. Second, if American schools were the main cause, you'd expect the youngest adults to show the biggest drop. They didn't. The age group NCES reported with a drop in numeracy was adults 55 to 65, people who finished school decades ago.

Nuanced. The decline is real and measured by the federal government. But “dumbed down” implies someone did it to us, and the data doesn't identify a cause. NCES didn't name one. Whatever is happening is hitting older adults and much of the developed world at the same time.

“Yet they think they know everything”

Verdict: Confirmed

This is the part of my sentence with the strongest evidence behind it. In 2021, a team of political scientists from Utah, Washington University, Princeton, Dartmouth and Exeter surveyed two nationally representative samples totaling 8,285 Americans. They showed people real and fake news headlines, then asked them to rate their own ability to tell the difference.

About three in four people overestimated their ability. On average, people placed themselves 22 percentiles higher than their actual performance. Roughly 90 percent said they were above average, which is arithmetically impossible.

The worst finding: the people who were worst at spotting fake news were the least aware of it. Using real browsing data, the researchers found overconfident people visited untrustworthy websites more often and said they were more willing to share false stories, especially ones that flattered their own politics.

Receipt: Lyons, B.A., Montgomery, J.M., Guess, A.M., Nyhan, B., & Reifler, J. (2021). “Overconfidence in news judgments is associated with false news susceptibility.” PNAS, 118(23). doi:10.1073/pnas.2019527118

Confirmed, with two limits. The study measured overconfidence about news, not “everything.” And the authors note that overconfidence shows up in other countries too, so this is a human problem the U.S. has plenty of, not a uniquely American one.

“Deliberately”

Verdict: Disputed

Here is where my own sentence fails my own standard. This site does not attribute intent without a source, and I don't have one. None of the research above identifies a person, company or party that set out to erase empathy or lower test scores. Konrath's own work offers possible explanations, not culprits: the 2011 study floated several theories, from media to parenting to rising pressure to succeed, and the 2023 update points to changes in how people relate to one another.

What I can document is something narrower and, I think, more useful: the incentives.

In 2021, researchers at Cambridge and NYU analyzed 2.7 million Facebook and Twitter posts from news outlets and members of Congress. Posts about the political other side were shared about twice as often as posts about one's own side. Each additional word referring to the opposing party raised the odds of a post being shared by 67 percent. Contempt for the other side beat every other predictor they tested, including emotional language in general.

Receipt: Rathje, S., Van Bavel, J.J., & van der Linden, S. (2021). “Out-group animosity drives engagement on social media.” PNAS, 118(26). doi:10.1073/pnas.2024292118

The same paper cites Wall Street Journal reporting (Jeff Horwitz and Deepa Seetharaman, May 26, 2020) that a Facebook research team warned the company in 2018 that its algorithms exploited people's attraction to divisiveness, and that executives declined to adopt the team's proposed fixes. If that reporting holds, it shows a company that knew and kept the business model. That is a serious finding. It still isn't a plan to erase American empathy.

Disputed. No evidence of a coordinated plan. Strong evidence that contempt is profitable: platforms, outlets and politicians in both parties are rewarded every time we hate the other side a little more. Nobody had to plan it. They just had to keep getting paid for it. For more on how that machine works, see the rage-bait industry.

The strongest case against this page

“This is just the old moral panic in new clothes.”

Every generation has complained that the next one is colder and dumber. The empathy rebound after 2008 is exactly what that critic would predict: a scary headline that faded when the data kept coming in. The skeptic would also point out that partisan hostility surveys measure people who identify with a party, and that a growing share of Americans are independents who say they wish there were more parties to choose from.

That's a fair hit, and it's why two of my five verdicts came back “nuanced” rather than “confirmed.” But the partisan numbers aren't a single headline. Pew has tracked them since the 1990s and they have climbed through every administration of both parties. Moral panic doesn't explain a 25-point move in six years.

“You're going too easy on ‘deliberately.’”

The other direction deserves a hearing too. If a company is warned its product feeds division and keeps the product, isn't that deliberate? Morally, you can argue it is. But “they knowingly profited from division” and “they deliberately erased America's empathy” are different claims with different evidence. I can put a receipt under the first. I can't put one under the second, so I won't make it.

For the record: “College students are 40 percent less empathetic”

You will see this number everywhere. It's real, but it comes from the researcher's own 2010 press summary of the original study, not a claim about all Americans. It describes college students only, it measures what students said about themselves on a questionnaire, and the same researcher's 2023 update found the decline has largely reversed. We use it only with those three limits attached, and never as “Americans lost 40 percent of their empathy.”

What to do the next time you see a post about “them”

If contempt spreads because it gets shared, the fix starts at the share button. When a post calls the other side a name, I ask four questions before I react:

  1. Who, exactly, are you calling that? A named person, or half the country?
  2. How are you defining the term? If they can't define it, it's a label, not an argument.
  3. What evidence supports it? A record you can check, or a screenshot of a screenshot?
  4. Which constitutional principle justifies the claim? Is it legal? Is it constitutional? Is it morally and ethically acceptable?

If those questions can't be answered with evidence, it isn't a serious discussion. It's propaganda. For more on spotting the techniques, read The Propaganda Playbook and our Evidence Over Outrage series.

Verify it yourself

  1. Konrath, O’Brien & Hsing (2011), empathy meta-analysis, Personality and Social Psychology Review.journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1088868310377395
  2. Konrath, Martingano, Davis & Breithaupt (2023), empathy update, Social Psychological and Personality Science.doi.org/10.1177/19485506231218360
  3. Konrath et al. update, summarized by Indiana University (2024).philanthropy.indianapolis.iu.edu
  4. Pew Research Center (2022), partisan hostility report, with topline questionnaire.pewresearch.org
  5. NCES, 2023 U.S. PIAAC national results.nces.ed.gov/surveys/piaac/2023/national_results.asp
  6. NCES press release on the 2023 PIAAC results (Dec. 10, 2024).nces.ed.gov/whatsnew/press_releases/12_10_2024.asp
  7. OECD press release, 2023 Survey of Adult Skills (Dec. 10, 2024).oecd.org
  8. OECD Education GPS, U.S. adult skills profile.gpseducation.oecd.org
  9. Lyons et al. (2021), overconfidence in news judgment, PNAS.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2019527118
  10. Rathje, Van Bavel & van der Linden (2021), out-group animosity, PNAS.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2024292118
  11. Horwitz & Seetharaman, “Facebook Executives Shut Down Efforts to Make the Site Less Divisive,” Wall Street Journal, May 26, 2020.wsj.com (paywalled; also entered into the record of a March 2021 House hearing)
  12. Charities Aid Foundation, World Giving Index 2024.cafonline.org

Don't believe me. Check it.

— Brad Schrunk